Forecast and Analysis for Roland Garros 2026

On June 2, 2026, two talented Ukrainian tennis players, Elina Svitolina and Marta Kostyuk, will meet at Roland Garros in a quarterfinal duel that promises to be exciting. The history between the two is tied 1-1, but it is crucial to note that they have never faced each other on clay, the surface of this tournament.

Svitolina comes into this match with an impressive streak of 10 consecutive victories, demonstrating great form. For her part, Kostyuk has been a true revelation on clay this season, remaining undefeated in 15 matches played on this surface.

The expectation is maximum for this very personal confrontation. What can we expect from this duel and what are the safest bets? Below, we break down the analysis to help you make the best decision.

Elina Svitolina has left an indelible mark in the recent tournament in Rome, where her victory was simply spectacular. On her way to the title, Svitolina beat three Top 10 players: Rybakina, Swiatek and Gauff. His tenacity was evident in Paris, where he was on the brink of elimination in the first round, saving the situation in an agonizing third set tie-break against Bondar (3-6, 6-1, 7-6).

He subsequently demonstrated his superiority with emphatic 2-0 set victories against Quevedo and Korpas. In the round of 16, Svitolina faced Bencic. Although he had a hesitant start, he managed to turn the match around, sealing a character victory 4-6, 6-4, 6-0.

Her ability to come back and her experience on big stages make her a formidable rival. However, the demands of the previous matches could begin to take their toll.

Marta Kostyuk has had a dream season on clay, remaining undefeated to date. Her 15-match winning streak includes titles in Rouen and Madrid, cementing her position as one of the fittest players on the circuit on this surface.

The decision to skip the Rome tournament seems to have been correct, allowing her to arrive fresh at Roland Garros. In Paris, Kostyuk has displayed high-level tennis, scoring four victories. He only gave up one set in the second round match against Volynets (6-7, 6-3, 6-3).

Her match in the round of 16 against Iga Swiatek was a true test by fire, but Kostyuk overcame her with authority in two sets (7-5, 6-1), demonstrating great mental strength and tenacity.

The bookmakers see a slight favoritism in Marta Kostyuk for this close duel, and we agree with this assessment. Marta has shown unwavering solidity on clay, without knowing defeat this season.

Her victory against Iga Swiatek and the fact that she has only dropped one set in Paris so far are clear indicators of her excellent form. On the other hand, Elina Svitolina had a difficult path at Roland Garros, with a hard-fought victory against Bondar and losing a set against Bencic, although she managed to come back.

It seems that Marta Kostyuk arrives with a superior energy reserve, which could be a decisive factor, especially if the match goes longer. Our prediction is a victory for Kostyuk, with an attractive odds of 1.79.

Considering the equality expected between both players and the intensity they usually display in important matches, it is very likely that we will see a match played with several sets. Both tennis players have the ability to fight for every point and force a tight score.

Svitolina's tendency to play long matches, as seen against Bondar and Bencic, and Kostyuk's consistency in maintaining pressure, suggest that the total games will exceed 20.5. This bet offers a good risk-reward ratio.

If Marta Kostyuk can maintain the level of play she has shown in recent weeks, especially her forcefulness on clay, she has the potential to beat Svitolina in two sets. His victory over Swiatek in two sets is a clear example of his ability to dominate high-caliber opponents.

Although Svitolina is an experienced player and capable of turning around difficult matches, Kostyuk's undefeated streak on clay and her recent victory against the world number 1 give her confidence that could translate into a quick and convincing victory.