Coppa Italia Prediction: Bologna Vs Lazio

Coppa Italia Prediction: Bologna vs Lazio – February 11, 2026

Bologna seeks to impose its favoritism against a Lazio in search of redemption. Main bet: Bologna victory.

Bologna

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Bologna hosts Lazio in an exciting Coppa Italia quarterfinal match. The Rossoblu, with the pressure of being favorites, will seek to ensure their place in the semifinals, while the Eagles will try to surprise.

In this detailed analysis, we will break down the current form of both teams, identify key trends and provide reliable predictions for your bets.

Bologna analysis

Last season, Bologna failed to reach the Champions League, but offered a very positive overall performance, winning the Italian Cup and showing notable competitiveness in the league.

Vincenzo Italiano once again set the goal of qualifying among the top five. Initially, with the squad available, it seemed an achievable goal, but early mistakes in the league have undermined their European aspirations.

Currently, Bologna occupies tenth position with 30 points, 16 behind the fourth place occupied by Juventus. The distance with the sixth place is 11 points, making the fight for the Conference League almost impossible.

The last day was a new setback. At home against Parma, Bologna played much of the match with one less player. Despite equalizing the final score, the visitors achieved victory.

This 0–1 defeat was Bologna's tenth of the season, extending their winless streak in the league to four games. The lack of forcefulness and defensive errors are taking their toll.

Disqualifications and Injuries

Lykogiannis is injured, which could affect the depth of Bologna's defense.

Interesting Betting Trends

• Bologna has lost its last two games.
• In the last 18 and 19 games, Bologna has suffered defeats.
• In their last six home games against Lazio, Bologna are unbeaten, recording four wins and two draws.

Bologna Estimated Lineup

Skorupski – Joao Mario, Lucumi, Heggem, Miranda – Freuler, Pobega – Bernardeschi, Ferguson, Rowe – Dalinga.

Analysis of Lazio

At the beginning of the season, Lazio was emerging as a candidate for European positions. However, the lack of significant reinforcements in the summer, as their rivals strengthened, raised concerns.

These fears were soon confirmed, with Lazio repeatedly losing points and struggling to climb out of the bottom of the table, despite some flashes of good play.

Several important losses occurred in winter, although new signings also arrived. However, the integration of these players has not yet consolidated the team, and their impact on overall performance is uncertain.

Currently, Lazio is in eighth position with 33 points, eight away from sixth place. Theoretically, a comeback is possible, but it seems complicated, especially with the presence of teams like Atalanta above.

The last day offered a promising result. Lazio managed to draw 2-2 against Juventus in Turin, overcoming a two-goal deficit, which demonstrates their ability to react.

Disqualifications and Injuries

Lazzari, Zaccagni and Gigot are injured, which represents significant losses for Lazio's scheme.

Interesting Betting Trends

• Lazio has not lost in its last three games (one win and two draws).
• Lazio has scored in its last two games.
• Lazio have lost to Bologna in their last two head-to-head meetings.

Approximate Lineup of Lazio

Provedel – Marusic, Romagnoli, Patrick, Tavares – Taylor, Cataldi, Dele Bashiru – Isaksen, Maldini, Pedro.

Key Statistics

Latest Matches

Bologna:

• 02/08/26 Serie A: Bologna 0:1 Parma
• 03/02/26 Serie A: Bologna 0:3 Milan
• 01/29/26 Europa League: Maccabi TA 0:3 Bologna
• 01/25/26 Serie A: Genoa 3:2 Bologna
• 01/22/26 Europa League: Bologna 2:2 Celtic
• 01/18/26 Serie A: Bologna 1:2 Fiorentina

Lazio:

• 02/08/26 Serie A: Juventus 2:2 Lazio
• 01/30/26 Serie A: Lazio 3:2 Genoa
• 01/24/26 Serie A: Lecce 0:0 Lazio
• 01/19/26 Serie A: Lazio 0:3 Como
• 01/11/26 Serie A: Verona 0:1 Lazio
• 01/07/26 Serie A: Lazio 2:2 Fiorentina

Direct Confrontations (Face to Face)

Season Statistics

Bologna:

• Possession: 56%
• Total shots: 16.2
• Shots on goal: 5.4
• Corners: 7.2
• Fouls: 14
• Yellow cards: 1.4

Lazio:

• Possession: 50.4%
• Total shots: 10
• Shots on goal: 2.6
• Corners: 2.2
• Fouls: 8.6
• Yellow cards: 2

Comparison of General Statistics

Total Goals in Matches

Bologna:

• More than 0.5 goals: 100%
• More than 1.5 goals: 80%

Lazio:

• More than 0.5 goals: 90%
• More than 1.5 goals: 70%

Recommended Betting Levels

Main Bet: Bologna Victory

Bologna, playing at home and needing to vindicate itself, has a slight advantage. Their recent home record against Lazio is positive, and although their overall form is patchy, the Coppa Italia represents a golden opportunity to salvage the season.

Safe Bet: Both teams score

Both teams have shown scoring ability in their recent matches, and Lazio, despite their ups and downs, has managed to score in their most recent matches. The nature of the Coppa Italia, where the intensity is usually high, favors goals in both goals.

Risk Bet (High Odds): Draw at half-time and victory for Bologna at the end

This forecast assumes a match played in the first half, with both teams measuring their strength. Bologna, with the support of their fans, could impose their rhythm in the second half to secure victory.

Form and Performance Analysis

Bologna form (Last 5 matches):

Rating: Form 6/10, Attack 7/10, Defense 5/10, Motivation 8/10

Bologna is going through a slump in the league, with consecutive defeats. However, their performance at home against Lazio is historically good. The Coppa Italia represents a great incentive for the team, which increases their motivation.

Lazio form (Last 5 matches):

Rating: Form 7/10, Attack 6/10, Defense 6/10, Motivation 7/10

Lazio shows slight improvement in its last games, with an undefeated streak and scoring ability. The comeback against Juventus shows their resilience. Injury losses are a factor to consider, but the team has shown it can compete.

Factors to Consider

Numerical Superiority and Injuries

Lykogiannis' injury at Bologna could weaken their defense. At Lazio, the absences of Lazzari, Zaccagni and Gigot are significant and could force tactical adjustments.

Goal and Possession Trends

Bologna tends to dominate possession and generate more scoring chances. Lazio, although with less possession, is capable of being effective in attack. Both teams usually participate in games with more than 0.5 goals, indicating a tendency to score.

Match History

The recent history between both teams is very balanced, with victories for both sides and draws. However, Bologna have performed well at home against Lazio in recent years.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. What is the methodology used to prepare this forecast?

My methodology is based on a comprehensive analysis of statistical data from reliable sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored. I consider the teams' recent performance, statistics for goals, possession, shots, duels, as well as the form of key players, injuries and suspensions. Historical trends and head-to-head matches are analyzed to get a complete picture.

2. Why is a Bologna victory predicted?

The prediction is based on several factors: Bologna plays at home, where they have historically performed well against Lazio. Furthermore, the Coppa Italia represents an important opportunity for Bologna to save their season, which increases their motivation. Despite his irregularity in the league, his potential and the field factor are decisive.

3. What will happen if Bologna's prediction of victory does not come true?

If the prediction does not come true, it means that unexpected variables or Lazio's superior performance prevailed. In this case, bets in favor of Bologna would not be winning. It is important to remember that football is unpredictable and there are always risks. If Lazio wins or draws, bets on their favor or double chance would be successful.

4. How is team form evaluated?

Form is assessed by analyzing the results of each team's last 5 to 10 matches. Victories, draws, losses, goals scored and received, as well as the general performance in those matches are considered. The aim is to identify positive or negative streaks and the consistency of the team.

5. What does the team rating system (e.g.: 8/10) mean?

The rating system is a numerical score from 1 to 10 that evaluates different aspects of the team: Form (current performance), Attack (scoring ability and generation of chances), Defense (defensive solidity and few goals conceded) and Motivation (importance of the match and desire to win). An 8/10 indicates very good performance in that category.

6. What type of bets are recommended?

Three bet levels are offered: Main (the most probable and recommended), Safe (with lower risk and lower odds) and Risk (with high odds and higher risk). This allows bettors to choose according to their profile and risk tolerance.

7. Are xG (Expected Goals) analyzes included?

Yes, xG analysis is an important metric that is considered to evaluate the quality of chances created and conceded by teams, regardless of the final result. It helps to understand if a team is playing above or below its expected performance.

8. How do injuries and possible alignments influence the prognosis?

Injuries to key players and possible lineups are crucial factors. It analyzes how these absences or changes in formation can affect the balance of the team, its offensive and defensive potential, and the general strategy of the match.

9. What is done if the prediction does not come true in terms of exact outcome?

If the prediction of the exact result does not come true, but the main bet (e.g. a team's victory) does, the main bet would be a winner. If the main bet is also not fulfilled, it is considered a failed prediction. In these cases, it is recommended to learn from mistakes and adjust the strategy for future bets.

10. How is the risk rate determined?

Risk bets are based on less probable scenarios but with a high profit potential. They can include specific exact results, combined scores or rare events that, if they occur, would offer a very attractive odds. They are based on a deeper analysis of trends and possible surprises.