Athletic Vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Athletic vs Real Sociedad Prediction – Copa del Rey 2026 Semifinals

Prediction: Draw. Main Bet: Double Chance Draw or Real Sociedad.

Athletic

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Royal Society

Athletic will host Real Sociedad on February 11 in the first leg of the Copa del Rey semi-finals.

Will the “red and white” be able to justify their status as favorites and win, or will the “blue and white” be stronger?

In the forecast we analyze in detail the state in which the teams face the head-to-head confrontation, identify current trends and prepare reliable bets.

How will the teams play?

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Analysis of the Athletic Bilbao Spain team

Athletic's current form, after a very successful last season, in which Ernesto Valverde's team booked a ticket to the Champions League, probably set themselves the task of competing for a place in the top four, and overall the selection of players was quite adequate to achieve this.

However, the Basques immediately began to lose points, and with the start of the Champions League the situation worsened significantly and the rojiblancos had already abandoned the fight for a place in the top four.

At the moment, Athletic occupies only tenth place in the table, with 28 points to its name.

From the fourth place “Villarreal”, the “rojiblancos” are already 17 points away, while the “yellow submarine” still has one less game: fifth place, which in theory can also secure a ticket to the Champions League, is 10 points away and the possibilities of reaching it are also illusory.

In the last round, Athletic faced Levante at home and won very easily 4-2: the “frogs” played in the minority from the 17th minute. This victory ended a series of six failed games in the championship.

In the Spanish Super Cup, the red and whites were ignominiously eliminated in the semifinals, losing 0:5 to Barcelona, ​​​​and in the Champions League they could not compete for a place in the playoffs.

Disqualifications and injuries

Eguliz, Prados, Sannadi, Sunset were injured.

Interesting betting trends

Athletic won the last two games

In the last five home games, Athletic did not lose against Real Sociedad – four wins and one draw

Athletic missed the last 11 games

Indicative lineup: Padilla – Gorosabel, Montreal, Laporte, Leque – Jaureguizar, Vesga – I. Williams, Gomes, N. Williams – Guruseta.

Real Sociedad Spain

Current form

Real Sociedad, after the disastrous last season, was left without European Cups and probably hoped to use this trump card in the new season: the “blue and white” probably counted on fifth place.

However, the Basques failed again in the initial stretch and immediately found themselves at the bottom of the table, from where it took them a long time to get out and the management frankly delayed the change of coach.

However, with the arrival of Pellegrino Matarazzo, the situation changed drastically and very quickly: from the first game with the new coach, Real Sociedad was transformed, but most importantly, it began to score points regularly.

Currently the blue and white team occupy eighth position in the table with 31 points and are only three points behind the sixth Spanish team; This disadvantage leaves an opportunity for European competition.

On the last matchday, Real Sociedad hosted Elche and was considered the favorite of the match.

The blue and white team easily justified this situation, beating the “white-green” score 3:1.

The victory extended the unbeaten streak to 10 games and allowed them to truly join the fight for a ticket to the European Cups; In theory, there is even the possibility of joining the fight for fifth place, which could guarantee the Champions League.

Disqualifications and injuries

Marrero, Rupérez, Kubo were injured.

Halfway through with Zakharyan's question.

Interesting trends in betting

In the last 10 games, Real Sociedad did not lose: six wins and four draws

In the last 12 games Real Sociedad lost

In the last 11 games Real Sociedad scored

Indicative lineup: Remiro – Aramburu, Chaleta-Tsar, Martín, Muñoz – Gorotachegui, Turrientes – Guedes, Soler, Marín – Oyarzabal.

Statistics

Last matches

Personal meetings

Athletic Beal… Real Sociedad

02/08/26 First Division Athletic Beel… 4: 2 Levante

04/02/26 Copa del Rey Valencia 1: 2 Athletic Beal…

01/02/26 First Division Athletic Beel… 1: 1 Real Sociedad

01/28/26 Champions League Athletic Beel… 2: 3 Sporting

01/24/26 First Division Sevi Liga 2: 1 Athletic Beal…

01/21/26 Champions League Atalanta 2: 3 Athletic Beel…

02/07/26 First Division Real Sociedad 3: 1 Elche

02/04/26 Copa del Rey Alavés 2: 3 Real Sociedad

01/02/26 First Division Athletic B 1: 1 Real Sociedad

01/25/26 First Division Real Sociedad 3: 1 Celta

01/18/26 First Division Real Sociedad 2: 1 Barcelona

01/13/26 Copa del Rey Real Sociedad 6: 5 Penalty 4: 3 Osasuna

Athletic Beal… Real Sociedad

01.02.26 First Division Athletic B 1: 1 Real Sociedad

01.11.25 First Division Athletic B 3: 2 Athletic B

04.05.25 First Division Athletic B 0: 0 Athletic B

01/24/24 First Division Athletic B 1: 0 Real Sociedad

01/13/24 First Division Athletic B 2:

Frequently asked questions (FAQ)

What is the methodology used to prepare this forecast?

This forecast is prepared through a comprehensive analysis of statistical data obtained from reliable sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored. The recent trends of both teams are evaluated, including results, goals scored and conceded, Expected Goals (xG), shots on goal, ball possession, numerical superiority, injury history and possible lineups. A team rating system is applied based on their current form, offensive and defensive potential, and motivation.

Why is this specific prediction made?

The prediction is based on a combination of technical analysis and practical experience. Historical patterns are seen between both teams, the current form of key players, the importance of the match in the context of the season and betting trends. In this particular case, Real Sociedad's recent defensive solidity and Athletic's ability to compete at home, despite their irregularity, suggest an even match with a high probability of a draw.

What will happen if the prediction does not come true?

In the world of sports betting, no prediction is infallible. If the prediction does not come true, it is important to remember that there are unexpected variables such as referee decisions, individual errors or unforeseen tactical changes. It is recommended to manage your bankroll responsibly, diversify your bets and not get carried away by frustration. In case of a failed prediction, the causes will be analyzed to adjust the methodology in future forecasts.

How is team form evaluated?

Team form is assessed by analyzing the results of their last 5 to 10 matches. Not only victories and defeats are considered, but also the quality of the opponents, the forcefulness in the victories and the solidity in the defeats. Special attention is paid to the recent trend: whether the team is on an up or down streak.

How important are Expected Goals (xG)?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances created and conceded by a team. A high xG indicates that a team is generating many scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they have realized them. It helps predict future performance and identify whether current results are aligned with actual performance.

How do injuries influence prognosis?

Injuries to key players can have a significant impact on a team's performance. Significant absences are analyzed and roster depth is evaluated to determine if the team can adequately replace injured players. The absence of a leading scorer or defensive pillar can drastically alter the odds.

What does “Double Chance Draw or Real Sociedad” mean?

The “Double Chance Draw or Real Sociedad” bet covers two possible outcomes: that the match ends in a draw or that Real Sociedad wins. If either of these two results occurs, the bet is a winner. It is a safer option than betting on a single outcome.

What is a “risk (high odds)” bet?

A risk bet, also known as a high-odds bet, involves betting on a less likely outcome but with a much higher winning potential. For example, betting on a specific exact result or on a player to score the first goal. These bets require deeper analysis and more careful risk management.

How is the motivation of a team determined?

Motivation is evaluated considering the context of the match: the importance of the competition (cup semi-final), the position in the league, the rivalry between the teams and the need to obtain points. A team that is playing for qualification or that has a special historical motivation can perform above its usual level.

Are analysis of previous matches between Athletic and Real Sociedad included?

Yes, the analysis of the direct matches between Athletic and Real Sociedad is essential. The results of the last confrontations, the trends in terms of goals, and if there is a team that historically dominates the duel are studied. This provides valuable information about the dynamics between both sets.