
Roland Garros 2026 Prediction: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Świątek – May 31
Analysis and Prediction: Kostyuk vs Świątek – Victory for Świątek with handicap
On May 31, at the prestigious Roland Garros tournament, Marta Kostyuk and Iga Świątek will face off in a battle for a place in the quarterfinals. The Ukrainian tennis player has lost to the Pole in her three previous matches, which begs the question: do we expect another resounding victory from Iga? Below we break down our forecast and recommended bets.
Team Analysis
Marta Kostyuk
Since his transition to clay, Kostyuk has shown exceptional form, racking up a 14-match winning streak and claiming titles in Rouen and Madrid. His decision to skip Rome seems to have been correct, since at Roland Garros he has continued his successful career, winning three rounds and giving up only one set. In her debut, she convincingly beat Selehmeteva (6-2, 6-3). Subsequently, he played a more contested match against Volynets (6-7, 6-3, 6-3), and finally beat Golubic in two sets (6-4, 6-3).
Iga Swiątek
Świątek has arrived at Roland Garros in excellent form, reaching the semi-finals in Rome. In Paris, his time in the tournament has been impeccable, without giving up a single set in his matches against Jones, Bejlek and Linette. In all of these matches, they have outscored their rivals by a margin of at least four games. It is important to note that Iga defends the points from its semifinal last year on this same surface.
Statistics
Latest Matches
| Date | Player | Result | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/29/26 | Marta Kostyuk | 2:0 | Victoria Golubic |
| 05/27/26 | Marta Kostyuk | 2:1 | Katie Volynets |
| 05/24/26 | Marta Kostyuk | 2:0 | Oksana Selehmeteva |
| 02.05.26 | Marta Kostyuk | 0:2 | Mirra Andreeva (Madrid Open) |
| 04/30/26 | Marta Kostyuk | 2:1 | Anastasia Potapova (Madrid Open) |
| 04/29/26 | Marta Kostyuk | 2:0 | Linda Noskova (Madrid Open) |
| 05/29/26 | Iga Swiątek | 2:0 | Magda Linette |
| 05/27/26 | Iga Swiątek | 2:0 | Sara Bejlek |
| 05/25/26 | Iga Swiątek | 2:0 | Emerson Jones |
| 05/14/26 | Iga Swiątek | 1:2 | Elina Svitolina (Internazionali BNL d'Italia) |
| 05/13/26 | Iga Swiątek | 0:2 | Jessica Pegula (Internazionali BNL d'Italia) |
| 11.05.26 | Iga Swiątek | 0:2 | Naomi Osaka (Internazionali BNL d'Italia) |
Direct Confrontations
| Date | Player 1 | Result | Player 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.08.25 | Iga Swiątek | 0:0 | Marta Kostyuk |
| 16.08.24 | Iga Swiątek | 2:0 | Marta Kostyuk |
| 03/15/24 | Iga Swiątek | 2:0 | Marta Kostyuk |
| 07.06.21 | Marta Kostyuk | 0:2 | Iga Swiątek |
| 09.02.19 | Alicja Rosolska | 2:1 | Marta Kostyuk |
Party Fees
Bookmakers give Kostyuk an odds of 3.20, while for Świątek the odds are 1.35. Total games above 20.5 are offered at 1.90, and below at 1.90.
| Bet | Share | Bond |
|---|---|---|
| Kostyuk (Handicap +5 games) | 1.60 | Bet |
| Świątek (Victory) | 1.35 | Bet |
| Total More 20.5 Games | 1.90 | Bet |
| Total Under 20.5 Games | 1.90 | Bet |
Forecast and Betting
Prediction: Kostyuk's victory with a handicap (+5) games.
Although Kostyuk has lost all three of her head-to-head matches against Świątek without winning a single set, the Ukrainian is currently in peak form. His streak of 14 consecutive victories on clay shows that there are no signs of decline. We hope that Marta can compete and, at the very least, avoid a defeat by a difference of more than five games.
Main Bet: Kostyuk's victory with a handicap (+5) games, odds 1.60.
Safe Bet: Victory for Iga Świątek, odds 1.35.
Risk Bet (High Odds): Total More 20.5 games, odds 1.90.
Equipment Rating System
| Equipment | Shape | Stroke | Defense | Motivation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | 9/10 | 8/10 | 7/10 | 9/10 |
| Iga Swiątek | 9/10 | 9/10 | 8/10 | 9/10 |
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
1. How is this forecast made?
This forecast is based on a comprehensive analysis of statistical data, including the latest results of both teams, head-to-head matches, performance on the current surface (clay court), and general trends. Sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored are used to collect detailed information on player performance.
2. Why is this result predicted?
The prediction is based on Marta Kostyuk's current exceptional form on clay, evidenced by her long streak of victories and recent titles. While Iga Świątek is the favorite and a world-class player, Kostyuk's solidity and confidence suggest that she will be able to offer strong resistance and at least cover the proposed handicap.
3. What will happen if the prediction does not come true?
In the world of sports, surprises are possible. If the prediction does not come true, it means that unexpected variables or a performance higher than expected by one of the players have influenced the result. In the event of a resounding defeat by Kostyuk, the main bet would not be a winner. However, the safe bet on Świątek's victory would still be valid. It is recommended to manage your bankroll responsibly and consider betting as a form of entertainment.
4. What is the recommended main bet?
The recommended main bet is the victory of Marta Kostyuk with a handicap of +5 games, with an odds of 1.60.
5. What does gaming handicap mean?
A handicap of +5 games for Kostyuk means that for the bet to be a winner, she must win at least 5 games less than her opponent, or win the match. In other words, if the final score is, for example, 6-3, 6-4 (12-7 in total games), Kostyuk would have won 5 games less than Świątek, and the bet would be a winner.
6. How safe is the bet on Iga Świątek?
The bet on Iga Świątek's victory is considered the safest due to his ranking, his history and his dominance in direct confrontations. However, in tennis, no bet is 100% safe.
7. What factors influence team motivation?
Motivation can be influenced by several factors, such as the importance of the tournament (a Grand Slam like Roland Garros), the winning streak, the pressure of defending points, the player's emotional state and the historical rivalry between them.
8. What other types of bets are there for this match?
In addition to the main, safe and risky bet, there are other options such as the exact result of the match, the number of sets, the result of the first set, or bets on the individual performance of each player (for example, number of aces or double faults).
9. How can I manage my bankroll when betting?
Bankroll management involves betting only a small percentage of your total bankroll on each bet (usually between 1% and 5%) to minimize the risk of significant losses. It is essential to set a budget and stick to it.
10. What unexpected variables can affect the result?
Unexpected variables may include sudden injuries, adverse weather conditions that affect the game, referee errors, or a drastic change in a player's mood during the match.
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